AI Governance Engineer
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Predictive AI

By Updated

AI that outputs an estimate about something that exists: a score, class or forecast 1. Its harms are mostly allocation harms, and its evidence is accuracy, calibration and error rates by subgroup, with a decision threshold someone owns. Also called discriminative AI.

Developed in
ch. 11, Predictive versus generative
Chapters
ch. 11, AI Defined
Contrast with
Generative AI
Source
1 numbered reference, listed below

Where it is used

One chapter of the Body of Knowledge uses the term. Each link opens the first section that does.

  • Hallucination

    Generative output that is stated confidently but is false or unsupported by its sources; NIST's generative AI profile calls it confabulation and lists it…

  • Decision threshold

    The score above or below which an AI output triggers an action.

  • Calibration

    The property that a model's confidence matches its accuracy: of the cases scored 0.9, about nine in ten are right.

Sources

  1. [1] Commission Guidelines on the definition of an artificial intelligence system established by Regulation (EU) 2024/1689 (C(2025) 5053 final; non-binding; seven elements of Art. 3(1), inference as the indispensable condition; exclusions). European Commission. 2025-02-06. https://digital-strategy.ec.europa.eu/en/library/commission-publishes-guidelines-ai-system-definition-facilitate-first-ai-acts-rules-application (verified: primary)

Definitions of legal terms paraphrase the cited text, which governs. Dated statements are as of .

Cite this term

García Aibar, J. (2026). Predictive AI. In AI Governance Engineering: The Thesis & Body of Knowledge (v0.5.0), Glossary. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22956197. https://aigovernanceengineer.com/glossary/predictive-ai. CC BY 4.0

BibTeX

@misc{aige2026predictiveai,
  author  = {Jorge García Aibar},
  title   = {{Predictive AI}},
  note    = {Glossary, AI Governance Engineering: The Thesis \& Body of Knowledge, version 0.5.0},
  year    = {2026},
  doi     = {10.5281/zenodo.22956197},
  url     = {https://aigovernanceengineer.com/glossary/predictive-ai}
}